Current situation and future trend analysis of the

2022-08-23
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A summary of the current market situation and future trend analysis of the paper industry products

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the core proposal should first cut off the power supply: in September, the product price in South China began to decline (an average of 50-80 yuan/ton), and the data of this period has shown that the paper price showed a diving state. Other parts of the country did not raise prices in the early stage, so the price performance was relatively stable for the time being

[China Packaging News] in September, product prices in South China began to decline (an average of 50-80 yuan/ton), and this period's data has shown that paper prices are diving, and the sensor is not the same. Other parts of the country did not raise prices in the early stage, so the price performance was relatively stable for the time being

recent situation of the industry product market price trend (September 14 to September 18)

the price of carton board paper was 3282 yuan/ton, with a month on month decrease of 0.63% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.87%; It can be said that the price of corrugated paper is 2892 yuan/ton, a month on month decrease of 1.34% and a year-on-year increase of 0.90%, just like that of tens of thousands of merchants, logistics and service providers in Alibaba's e-commerce system. The price of white cardboard was 4596 yuan/ton, unchanged month on month, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.23%, and the price remained stable month on month. The price of cultural paper was 5381 yuan/ton, with a month on month decrease of 0.56% and a year-on-year decrease of 2.06%. Cost price trend (September 14 to September 18): the price of domestic waste paper was 1198 yuan/ton, up 0.18% month on month and down 3.66% year on year; Prices rose slightly month on month. The price of imported waste paper was $183/ton, with a month on month decrease of 0.63% and a year-on-year decrease of 5.60%; Prices fell slightly month on month

the price of packaging paper in South China fell this month

comments in September, the price of products in South China began to fall (an average of 50-80 yuan/ton), and the data of this period have shown that the price of paper has plunged. The national contraction rate s is expressed by the following formula: s={(D-M)/d} × 100% (1) other regions did not raise prices in the early stage, so the price performance was relatively stable for the time being. Gradually entering the traditional peak season, prices fell instead of rising. On the one hand, the cost of waste paper continued to weaken, on the other hand, it showed that the recovery of downstream demand was less than expected

analysis of the future trend of packaging paper price

the value-added tax rebate (especially for large enterprises) implemented in July may alleviate the pressure of price reduction on ton net profit in the short term, but if the demand side performance continues to be sluggish in the future, it may lead to continued weakness in prices

the temporary weakening of the expectation of RMB depreciation contributed to the short-term rebound of stock prices. Statically, it is expected that for every 1% depreciation of the RMB against the US dollar, Nine Dragons Paper's profit will fall by more than 7.0% or 161 yuan/ton, and Liwen paper's profit will fall by 3.8% or 185 Hong Kong dollars/ton. The methods that the company may adopt to reduce the potential exchange rate impact in the future include: 1) reducing the foreign currency debt of US dollar/Hong Kong dollar or exchanging the foreign currency debt with low exchange risk; 2) Use more domestic waste paper

with the increase of supply, the prices of American waste and domestic waste have shown a seasonal decline (although the prices of domestic waste continue to rise slightly this week), which is in line with our trend judgment. The depreciation of RMB may cause the price of domestic waste to rise and the price of American waste to fall to a certain extent

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